the edge wrote:
Interesting that he acknowledges printing money as an acceptable means of eroding debt (thus offending against a PIN sacred cow)
Quote:
Governments do this by printing money and running budget deficits (spending more than they take in through taxes) large enough to raise prices as this new money chases the same volume of goods That is how Rome depreciated its currency in antiquity, and how America managed to erode much of its own debt in the 1970s – and how the dollar’s falling international value has wiped out much of the U.S. international debt in recent years. This price inflation reduces the debt burden – as long as wages and other income rise in tandem.
Inflating your currency only repudiates your debts to your own citizens, it increases the difficulty of repaying foreign debt. Unless your debts to foreigners are denominated in your own currency, as is the case with the USA.
The Dollar became the world's reserve currency in 1944 because it was 100% exchangable for gold at the rate of $35 per troy oz. The reserve currency was in effect still gold. The world was trusting that it was in the USA's interest not to print more dollars than they could redeem.
When you give politicians and their central bank the power to effectively print gold then you are putting a lot of trust in human beings. If you were Richard Nixon with an unpopular war to pay for and demonstrations on the streets would you a) increase taxes so that the US pays for its foreign policy, or b) print the money you need at the expense of foreigners who can't vote in your elections?
The French called their bluff and asked for the gold. Nixon understood that the gold was not a "barbaric relic" but the only real money on the planet. Otherwise he would have let them have the silly yellow metal. He closed the international gold window. That should have been the end of that but America has been so sucessful in persuading the world that "we're good for it" that each successive administration has come to believe that it dosn't matter how much you print because the waiter is never going to present the bill. Well the bill has arrived and there're trying to hide in the jax.
Inflating your currency when a high proportion of government and personal debt is denominated in foreign currency is not a solution it is a disaster.
However, if you can issue debt in your own currency then you can live on easy street and then screw you creditors using inflation. When they finally realise they're being screwed they will have to eat their losses. Then they stop lending to you. What do you do then?