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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2017 8:48 am 
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Too Big to Fail
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Joined: Aug 20, 2009
Posts: 4912
Consumer Price Index, April 2017

http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublica ... april2017/

% monthly change +%
% annual change -%

Quote:
The most notable changes in the year were increases in Transport (+7.2%), Health (+2.2%), Restaurants & Hotels(+2.0%) and Miscellaneous Goods & Services (+1.7%). There were decreases in Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (-4.9%), Clothing & Footwear(-4.3%), Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-2.7%) and Recreation & Culture (-2.0%).

Consumer Prices in April, as measured by the CPI, increased by 0.4% in the month. During April of last year, prices rose by 0.2% in the month. The most significant monthly price changes were increases in Transport (+2.3%) and Restaurants & Hotels (+0.5%). There were decreases in Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance(-0.8%) and Clothing & Footwear (-0.6%).


Private Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.5%
% annual change +7.9%

Local Authority Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.0%
% annual change -0.7%


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Tue Jun 13, 2017 8:54 am 
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Posts: 4912
Consumer Price Index, May 2017

http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublica ... exmay2017/

% monthly change -0.2%
% annual change +0.2%

Quote:
The most notable changes in the year were increases in Transport (+2.2%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+2.1%), Restaurants & Hotels (+1.8%) and Education (+1.7%). There were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-5.4%), Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (-3.9%), Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-2.2%) and Recreation & Culture (-1.7%).

Consumer Prices in May, as measured by the CPI, decreased by 0.2% in the month. During May of last year, prices rose by 0.5% in the month. The most significant monthly price changes were decreases in Transport (-3.5%) and Miscellaneous Goods & Services (-0.3%). There were increases in Communications (+1.5%) and Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+1.4%).


Private Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.1%
% annual change +7.6%

Local Authority Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.0%
% annual change -0.7%


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Thu Jun 15, 2017 1:57 pm 
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Too Big to Fail
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Joined: Mar 7, 2012
Posts: 3247
Location: Lovely Leitrim
Ireland now second most expensive country in EU for goods and services

http://www.irishtimes.com/business/econ ... -1.3120896

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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Sat Jun 17, 2017 9:37 pm 
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Speculator

Joined: May 23, 2009
Posts: 418
NegativeEquity wrote:
Ireland now second most expensive country in EU for goods and services

http://www.irishtimes.com/business/econ ... -1.3120896

Quote:
With the exception of consumer electronics, Ireland was above the EU average for all the price categories surveyed.
Thats weird because I basically gave up paying the rip-off electronics pricing in this country 10 years ago, without exception everything is significantly more expensive than ordering it from another country. Maybe bricks and mortar is just a ripoff everywhere...


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2017 10:34 am 
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Posts: 4912
Consumer Price Index, June 2017

http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublica ... xjune2017/

% monthly change +0.1%
% annual change -0.4%

Quote:
The most notable changes in the year were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-5.3%), Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (-3.7%), Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-2.7%) and Recreation & Culture (-1.6%). There were increases in Restaurants & Hotels (+1.8%), Education (+1.7%), Health (+1.4%) and Communications (+0.8%).

Consumer Prices in June, as measured by the CPI, increased by 0.1% in the month. During June of last year, prices rose by 0.7% in the month. The most significant monthly price changes were increases in Restaurants & Hotels (+1.2%) and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+0.5%). There were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-2.8%) and Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-0.7%).


Private Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.8%
% annual change +7.9%

Local Authority Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +5.0%
% annual change +1.8%


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2017 4:18 pm 
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Joined: Sep 29, 2010
Posts: 8328
Location: London, innit
https://www.ft.com/content/7b5805b3-c07 ... 2?mhq5j=e1

Quote:
What was that about the end of “deflationary forces” in the eurozone?

While the rest of the eurozone shows tentative signs of a self-sustaining increase in prices, Ireland’s economy returned to deflation in June, and economists at the local central bank are blaming the country’s reliance on trade with the UK.

While a weak pound has led to uncomfortably high inflation in the UK, its post-Brexit referendum depreciation has created the opposite problem in Ireland.

Data released this morning showed that, on an EU-harmonised basis, average consumer prices in Ireland in June were 0.6 per cent lower than the same month last year, the lowest figure since last March.

In an “economic letter” released this afternoon, economists at the CBI estimated the pound’s weakness – it has fallen 13 per cent against the euro since the referendum – caused prices to be 1.2 percentage points lower over the course of a year than they would have been if sterling had remained stable.

Despite a shift in recent years, the UK is still one of Ireland’s most important trading partners, providing almost a quarter of the country’s total imports in 2016. Moreover, according to the CBI’s Paul Reddan and Jonathan Price, those imports have a disproportionate impact on inflation as they are predominantly consumer and manufacturing goods. In contrast, a large proportion of Ireland’s imports from the USA are pharmaceuticals or aircraft which are re-exported, not sold to Irish consumers.

So far, the weak inflation isn’t necessarily creating problems – the economists say the weak inflation last year “stimulated personal consumption expenditure through an increase in the real disposable incomes of Irish consumers”, while the country’s household debt levels continued to decline.

Still, that doesn’t mean it couldn’t be a worry in future: they estimate that each further 1 per cent move in the value of sterling would cause Irish prices to increase or decrease by 0.15 per cent over a year, and they’re expecting more such moves to come:

Understanding the importance of sterling in driving consumer goods inflation is imperative, as forthcoming negotiations surrounding British exit from the EU are likely to have major consequences for the euro-sterling exchange rate.


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Fri Jul 14, 2017 3:41 am 
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Joined: Nov 6, 2006
Posts: 8542
Location: Australia
I think its been a liquidity trap for years. Its seems contradictory but i reckon inflation is low because rates are low. We need the readjustment.

Right or wrong?


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Fri Jul 14, 2017 1:45 pm 
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Property Magnate

Joined: Jan 4, 2012
Posts: 565
Blindjustice BATONEFFECT wrote:
I think its been a liquidity trap for years. Its seems contradictory but i reckon inflation is low because rates are low. We need the readjustment.

Right or wrong?

U.S. has again missed all their inflation estimates today after 3 rate rises over the last 6 months.
This appears to have led to the dollar index falling while bullion and NASDAQ stocks rise.
I'm no economist but shouldn't lower than expected inflation cause a higher dollar and lower bullion prices? Maybe the level of central bank intervention at all levels of the market is so huge that the market responses are more in response to predicted "corrective" central bank action rather than market fundamentals and are therefore the inverse of what the response in a free market would be.


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Sun Jul 16, 2017 8:13 pm 
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Joined: Aug 20, 2009
Posts: 4912
Total inflation 2006-present, compared with private rental and local authority rents

Image


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:35 am 
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Posts: 4912
Consumer Price Index, July 2017

http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublica ... xjuly2017/

% monthly change +0.0%
% annual change -0.2%

Quote:
The most notable changes in the year were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-5.9%), Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (-4.3%), Recreation & Culture (-2.4%) and Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-2.0%). There were increases in Restaurants & Hotels (+2.4%), Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels(+2.1%), Education (+1.7%) and Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (+1.3%).

Consumer Prices in July, as measured by the CPI, remained unchanged in the month. During July of last year, prices fell by 0.2% in the month. The most significant monthly price changes were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-6.7%) and Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (-1.5%). There were increases in Transport (+2.4%) and Restaurants & Hotels (+1.1%).


Private Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.4%
% annual change +7.3%

Local Authority Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.0%
% annual change +1.8%


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2017 4:10 pm 
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Joined: Aug 20, 2009
Posts: 4912
Consumer Price Index, August 2017

http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublica ... ugust2017/

% monthly change +0.4%
% annual change +0.4%

Quote:
The most notable changes in the year were increases in Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+3.2%), Restaurants & Hotels (+2.6%), Communications (+2.3%) and Transport (+2.2%). There were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-4.8%), Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (-3.8%), Recreation & Culture (-2.4%) and Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-1.7%).

Consumer Prices in August, as measured by the CPI, increased by 0.4% in the month. During August of last year, prices fell by 0.2% in the month. The most significant monthly price changes were increases in Clothing & Footwear (+6.1%) and Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (+0.7%). There were decreases in Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (-0.8%) and Recreation & Culture (-0.3%).


Private Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.8%
% annual change +7.3%

Local Authority Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.0%
% annual change +1.8%


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:55 am 
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Posts: 4912
Consumer Price Index, September 2017

http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublica ... ember2017/

% monthly change -0.6%
% annual change +0.2%

Quote:
The most notable changes in the year were increases in Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+2.9%), Restaurants & Hotels (+2.7%), Education (+1.7%) and Transport (+1.0%). There were decreases in Clothing & Footwear (-4.8%), Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Household Maintenance (-4.1%), Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-2.0%) and Recreation & Culture (-1.6%).

Consumer Prices in September, as measured by the CPI, decreased by 0.6% in the month. During September of last year, prices fell by 0.4% in the month. The most significant monthly price changes were decreases in Transport (-3.8%) and Communications (-2.3%). There were increases in Clothing & Footwear (+3.2%) and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (+0.6%).


Private Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +0.7%
% annual change +6.1%

Local Authority Rents (table 7)
% monthly change +3.7%
% annual change +6.5%


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 Post subject: Re: Inflation watch
PostPosted: Thu Nov 09, 2017 4:03 pm 
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Joined: Feb 27, 2007
Posts: 1803
Almost all of our suppliers have given price increases in the last 3 months.
All in the 5-8% range.
This is after holding fire for at least 3 years.


Also.
Copper is up ~50% in 12 months.
Baltic Dry Index is similar.


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