Quote:
As I have stated, here is a good analogy for the problem facing the economy at present: i
t is like the fate of a shop beside a large factory.
When the factory starts laying off staff and cutting back on production it has a knock-on effect for the shopkeeper's household.Notwithstanding the shopkeeper's ingenuity, they cannot start budgeting for second holidays or shop improvements until the factory picks up. The factory does not look like it will start taking on more staff and picking up production for another year or so.
The coming months will be difficult. Saying that we have faced worse is meagre consolation in the face of increasing oil and food prices. But there is an important difference.
Back in the Eighties there was no sign of hope. Today, we know that the saving and controls we are making now will yield benefits for the years ahead.
Merchants of gloom think we're still living in the pastIreland is better placed today to weather current political crises, says Willie O'Dea
http://www.independent.ie/opinion/analy ... 36109.html
Ah but Minister O'Dea, what happens when the shopkeepers costs rise faster than he can find cost savings? He's already down on revenue (less taxpayers).
Oh that's right, he has to pass the rising costs on (more taxes), now the shopping center management who control the infrastructure decide to charge for parking (Iarnrod Eireann), so even less people are buying from him, in fact they go where it's cheaper (Germany, N. I.), so even less revenue. So in response the shopkeeper starts laying off staff and cutting product lines (watch the HSE), but that's a productivity improvement as the remaining staff have to work harder so they go on strike for more money.
During the boom the shopkeeper was robbed, they caught the robber, but the shopping centre chairman (Bertie Ahern) negotiated a 60/40 split with the robbers, where the shopkeeper only got 60 percent of the goods returned.
An external consultant (the IMF) looking at the books of the shopping centre shook his head and said this was unsustainable, but the internal auditors (central bank) said everything was ok, the shopkeeper was robust and had plenty of capital reserves to sustain him and if he needed more he could borrow 3% of his revenue.
Eventually, the shopkeeper went bust and the store was turned to a soup kitchen (dole office), and former workers from the factory (that had now closed due to rising costs) and former shopkeeper lined up for rations, the management had to borrow money at higher interest rates to keep center operational. Eventually it went bust and had to be bailed out for a song by a major conglomerate (EU), who bought off the existing management, cut everyone's wages and issued orders from head office and sweated the assets.
Perhaps the government should reflect on this:
Behold, we are servants this day, and as for the land that you gave to our fathers to eat the fruit of it and the good of it, behold, we are servants in it.
Nehemiah 9:36