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 Post subject: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 7:13 am 
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http://www.independent.ie/business/iris ... 33714.html


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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 7:25 am 
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It would take half the time if we knocked partition walls between semi detached houses and
knock two thirds of the time off for the setup with two apartments and a basement type apartment that all together look like a townhouse.

It would take alot less if the market was free.
It would take alot less if our whole economy wasnt rigged.

NAMA wouldnt allow any of the above, seems like alot of people would rather demolish. No doubt these very same people have huge vested interests in demolitions & bailouts.

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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 7:32 am 
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Quote:
The report says that if current population trends are sustained, housing oversupply will take 43 years to clear (this excludes holiday homes from unoccupied houses in the calculations). If holiday dwellings are included in calculations, the oversupply will take 57 years to clear.



Quote:
Nama boss Brendan McDonagh told the Oireachtas Public Accounts Committee that the state agency would consider bulldozing properties in certain circumstances


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"Over 200,000 houses would need to be demolished in order for the housing supply to fall to three years of current population growth."

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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 7:38 am 
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But goys, loike, SoCoDu is different, roit?


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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 7:41 am 
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I can see an Irish remake of The Ring movie on the basis of this. A Pinster somewhere in the world reads this article . The phone rings. Then said Pinster has to endure 43 years of government interference, Occupy protests, Isobel and McFeely High Court appeals before being found with a grotesque contorted face in their home.


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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 7:53 am 
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I wonder how many houses in Ireland were built during, or before, the forties? Should nearly all of them, unless they've been extensively reburbished, are past their "best before" date by now and should be due for "retirement" /demolishing?

Subtract that number from the number of excess houses and that should reduce things a good bit.

I personally wouldn't like to live in any house built prior to the 80s at the earliest. Houses don't last forever. After about 65 years (or half that in the case of Celtic Bubble wooden-framed homes), they're fit for demolishing.

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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 9:03 am 
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doubleglaze wrote:
I wonder how many houses in Ireland were built during, or before, the forties? Should nearly all of them, unless they've been extensively reburbished, are past their "best before" date by now and should be due for "retirement" /demolishing?

Subtract that number from the number of excess houses and that should reduce things a good bit.

I personally wouldn't like to live in any house built prior to the 80s at the earliest. Houses don't last forever. After about 65 years (or half that in the case of Celtic Bubble wooden-framed homes), they're fit for demolishing.


Give me a pre 80s house anyday. I duuno if modern houses are better built but having owned a house built in the 80s.. never again..


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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 9:28 am 
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With regard to this picture from the report here I'd like to say that I flew from Knock Airport the week before last and made some observations while driving in my hire car with no aerial for the radio left alone with my own thoughts.
http://www.independent.ie/multimedia/dy ... 62579t.jpg

Knock airport is in the middle of one of those red areas.
I was stunned by the amount of derlict old housing all along the roads.
The truth is nobody wants to live in those low quality houses but they are privately owned or ownership in doubt and nobody wants to actually knock them.
Some of the more decent ones looked like the parochial house from Fr. Ted. Some were a lot less presentable than that. Some had modern houses directly behind them and the derelicts were left there to crumble.
There were also a lot of derelicts in one horse towns along the way to Knock too.
Perhaps the existence of the house means that planning permission for a replacement is easier to come by. Anyhow, the locals/owners of these derelicts don't seem to be in a hurry to knock the houses.

I was thinking it would only take 10 or 20 thousand to refurbish many of these houses to turn them in to nice rural cottages but the locals all want modern houses and I wouldn't want a holiday home in those areas as the area appears to have the unfortunate co-qualities of being very wild and inhospitable while still being rural yet looking over developed at the same time.
The weather on the days I was travelling from Knock was terrible and having just coming from a sunny day in Germany I was thinking you could refurbish these but who'd want to live in such a harsh unwelcoming place as this. Barely a tree to be seen, ugly low stone walls that would contain nothing and neglected land.
anyway the question I ask is seeing as the locals in these areas don't actually care about the derelicts and are in no hurry to demolish them who would benefit from a state funded program to demolish houses.


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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 9:43 am 
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The colour coding on that map makes it look more benign than it is. The lowest scale is 5% to 10% vacancy.


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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 9:44 am 
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Rob Kitchin must not have slept last night as he has a fairly long response to this article here

http://irelandafternama.wordpress.com/2 ... h-trouble/


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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 9:56 am 
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As you need planning permission to demolish a house, why bother...

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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 9:59 am 
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More likely to be allowed replace one eyesore with another than to build a brand spanking new eyesore as I understand it.


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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 10:05 am 
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The Naked Chef wrote:
http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/itll-take-us-43-years-to-fill-all-empty-houses-3133714.html


Can somebody tell me, is the word 'houses' used to denote all properties (including apartments) ?


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 Post subject: It's The Empties Stoopid Part the XXXXI. Germany Calling.
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 11:37 am 
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The map is more accurate than the headline. It does show areas where there is a gross oversupply of houses and I have been banging on about the bulldozer for many years on the Pin.

http://www.independent.ie/business/iris ... 33714.html

Quote:
It'll take us 43 years to fill all empty houses 200,000 homes may need to be bulldozed -- bank


Image

And the map shows we are as likely to start building again around Dublin/Cork/Galway as we are to start up the bulldozer in more rural areas...in fact both shall be requisite measures in my opinion.

Quote:
As the Deutsche Bank map shows, the empty properties are highly concentrated around the Atlantic coast with Kerry and Donegal particularly badly afflicted.

This glut of empty homes will have a major impact on future property prices.

"Demand for housing is the key factor as to how long it will take for this oversupply to be reduced, and aside from demand for second homes the key driver should be population growth," Deutsche Bank notes. Based on 2011 figures which showed population growth of just 13,000, and the average number of residents per house, the bank estimates that it could take until 2055 for the glut of houses to be worked through.


We could "work it through" it in 5-7 years if those dopes in the Indo conceded that everybody who buys a Sandyford Apartment off NAMA should be given a Holiday Home in Louisburgh or Dungloe or Carrigallen thrown in as well. Just the one each mind. :)

NIRSA, who came very late to the science of analysing empties...unlike the PIN which always led the way.... has an interesting commentary piece albeit not interesting enough for me to quote it So read it yourselves if you want, link below.

http://irelandafternama.wordpress.com/2 ... h-trouble/

I'm sure Namawinelake will roll in at some stage, I might even guest write a piece for them if they ask me. :D

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 Post subject: Re: 43 years..................
PostPosted: Sun Jun 10, 2012 11:39 am 
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mr_anderson wrote:
The Naked Chef wrote:
http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/itll-take-us-43-years-to-fill-all-empty-houses-3133714.html


Can somebody tell me, is the word 'houses' used to denote all properties (including apartments) ?

I believe so :twisted:


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