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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Sat Sep 08, 2018 6:58 am 
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A fall of 6,800 in a month is a very likely a statistical quirk related to the seasonal adjustment process.

It can be due to things like the number of weeks in a month. I suspect it is due to part-time teachers signing off in August rather than September this year.


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Thu Oct 04, 2018 2:56 pm 
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Posts: 5225
September 2018 Live Register

The seasonally adjusted Live Register figure in August 2018 was 212,600, up +1,600 monthly.
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... ember2018/

There were 42,124 casual and part-time workers on the Live Register in September 2018 which represents 20.5% of the total Live Register (was 51,992 in September 2017 or 21.3%)

Live Register Activation Programmes:
August 2018 was 48,339. August 2017 was 51,065

Persons on activation programmes are not counted as part of the monthly Live Register.
Figures available go back to Jan 2007. Lowest ever was 44,174 in Aug 2009; highest was 89,704 in Mar 2015.

Broad Jobless Rate:
If we add the total Live Register rate + Live Register Activation Programmes, the broad jobless rate stands at 10.9%
[212,600 (September 2018) + 48,339 (August 2018)/ 2,399,300 per Labour Force Survey Q2 2018]


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:44 pm 
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October 2018 Live Register

The seasonally adjusted Live Register figure in October 2018 was 210,700, up -1,700 monthly.
This is the lowest rate since May 2008 when it was 204,900.
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... tober2018/

There were 41,653 casual and part-time workers on the Live Register in October 2018 which represents 20.9% of the total Live Register (was 51,290 in October 2017 or 21.7%)

Live Register Activation Programmes:
September 2018 was 53,308. September 2017 was 57,633

Persons on activation programmes are not counted as part of the monthly Live Register.
Figures available go back to Jan 2007. Lowest ever was 44,174 in Aug 2009; highest was 89,704 in Mar 2015.

Broad Jobless Rate:
If we add the total Live Register rate + Live Register Activation Programmes, the broad jobless rate stands at 11.0%
[210,700 (October 2018) + 53,308 (September 2018)/ 2,399,300 per Labour Force Survey Q2 2018]


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 12:05 pm 
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Labour Force Survey Households and Family Units
Quarter 2 2012 - Quarter 2 2018

https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... itsq22018/

10.2% of persons under 60 living in jobless households in Q2 2018

9.5% of persons aged 18-59 living in jobless households


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Tue Nov 20, 2018 12:29 pm 
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The Labour Force Survey Q3 2018 results are out today

https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... rter32018/

I'll post some analysis later but interesting to see that while numbers in the Labour Force and Employment are at new highs, Unemployment seems to be levelling out:

Q4 2017: 6.1% (of which 2.5% long term unemployed)
Q1 2018: 5.7% (of which 2.1% long term unemployed)
Q2 2018: 6.0% (of which 2.0% long term unemployed)
Q3 2018: 6.0% (of which 2.1% long term unemployed)


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Tue Nov 20, 2018 2:15 pm 
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Posts: 2187
TheJackal wrote:
Labour Force Survey Households and Family Units
Quarter 2 2012 - Quarter 2 2018

https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... itsq22018/

10.2% of persons under 60 living in jobless households in Q2 2018

9.5% of persons aged 18-59 living in jobless households


In Ireland there is an unusual tendency for jobless people to hook up with other jobless people.


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Tue Nov 20, 2018 6:31 pm 
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Labour force Survey Q3 2018 stats are out
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... rter32018/

As of Q3 2017 the QNHS has been revised and will now be called the Labour force Survey (LFS)
https://www.cso.ie/en/csolatestnews/pre ... veyq22018/

Further revisions took place in Q1 2018
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... rter12018/

Image


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2018 2:53 pm 
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Posts: 5225
November 2018 Live Register

The seasonally adjusted Live Register figure in November r 2018 was 207,200, up -3,100 monthly.
This is the lowest rate since May 2008 when it was 204,900.
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... ember2018/

There were 41,759 casual and part-time workers on the Live Register in November 2018 which represents 21.3% of the total Live Register (was 51,344 in November 2017 or 22.0%)

Live Register Activation Programmes:
October 2018 was 55,335. October 2017 was 60,976

Persons on activation programmes are not counted as part of the monthly Live Register.
Figures available go back to Jan 2007. Lowest ever was 44,174 in Aug 2009; highest was 89,704 in Mar 2015.

Broad Jobless Rate:
If we add the total Live Register rate + Live Register Activation Programmes, the broad jobless rate stands at 10.9%
[207,200 (November 2018) + 55,335 (October 2018)/ 2,417,000 per Labour Force Survey Q3 2018]


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Thu Jan 10, 2019 2:07 pm 
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December 2018 Live Register

The seasonally adjusted Live Register figure in December 2018 was 204,000, up -3,000 monthly.
This is the lowest rate since April 2008 when it was 199,200.
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... ember2018/

There were 41,751 casual and part-time workers on the Live Register in December 2018 which represents 20.9% of the total Live Register (was 51,159 in December 2017 or 21.7%)

Live Register Activation Programmes:
November 2018 was 56,012. November 2017 was 61,553

Persons on activation programmes are not counted as part of the monthly Live Register.
Figures available go back to Jan 2007. Lowest ever was 44,174 in Aug 2009; highest was 89,704 in Mar 2015.

Broad Jobless Rate:
If we add the total Live Register rate + Live Register Activation Programmes, the broad jobless rate stands at 10.8%
[204,000 (December 2018) + 56,012 (November 2018)/ 2,417,000 per Labour Force Survey Q3 2018]


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 Post subject: Re: Unemployment rises to 14.9%
PostPosted: Thu Feb 07, 2019 12:50 pm 
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Posts: 5225
January 2019 Live Register

The seasonally adjusted Live Register figure in January 2019 was 200,300, up -3,200 monthly.
This is the lowest rate since April 2008 when it was 199,200.
https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublic ... nuary2019/

There were 41,240 casual and part-time workers on the Live Register in January 2019 which represents 20.7% of the total Live Register (was 50,231 in January 2018 or 21.2%)

Live Register Activation Programmes:
December 2018 was 55,480. December 2017 was 61,072

Persons on activation programmes are not counted as part of the monthly Live Register.
Figures available go back to Jan 2007. Lowest ever was 44,174 in Aug 2009; highest was 89,704 in Mar 2015.

Broad Jobless Rate:
If we add the total Live Register rate + Live Register Activation Programmes, the broad jobless rate stands at 10.6%
[200,300 (January 2019) + 55,480 (December 2018)/ 2,417,000 per Labour Force Survey Q3 2018]


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